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Jack Sotallaro's avatar

So it has started. The Israelis kept Trump's promise of consequences while maintaining plausible deniability for the US. Anyone who looks at what happened last night knows Israel couldn't do it without US intelligence, satellite data, and maybe even US aerial refueling resources. We admit we knew about it.

Iran would destabilize the whole Mideast if they had a nuke so what was done was to prevent that temporarily. The only way to prevent a restart to the nuclear program is regime change, however that's something the Iranian (Persian?) people will have to do for themselves. If they don't move to replace the government there's nothing that we or Israel can do that will last. Look at Ukraine and all the other places where a color revolution succeeded - most have gotten worse instead of better. The people can't rule unless they do rule, so it's my hope they rise up and take the government over.

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Anthony Davidson's avatar

John references “The devastation of the military leadership.” Perhaps military leadership should have quotation marks. It takes a drone eight hours to fly from Iran to Israel, which is plenty of time for them to be identified and possibly shot down as they cross through neutral air space. Apparently, it never occurred to the “military leadership” to smuggle drones into Israel so that they would be able to strike with little warning. At the same time, Israel pre-positioned their drones inside Iran with devastating effect.

“Hezbollah declared they weren’t going to get involved.” That’s certainly interesting. I guess they are tired of having their leadership reduced to their component parts.

How will the Iranian people respond? Even if they are high-fiving in private, any open display of pleasure will be crushed unless the government is on the verge of collapse. It’s unlikely, at least for the moment.

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